Die nächsten 100 Jahre: Eine Prognose für das 21. Jahrhundert von Friedman, George 1. Auflage

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Hinweise des Verkäufers
“In very good condition. No writing or tears. One highlight mark on copywrite pate.”
Binding
Hardcover
Product Group
Book
Weight
1 lbs
IsTextBook
No
ISBN
9780385517058
Kategorie

Über dieses Produkt

Product Identifiers

Publisher
Doubleday Religious Publishing Group, T.H.E.
ISBN-10
038551705X
ISBN-13
9780385517058
eBay Product ID (ePID)
12038246114

Product Key Features

Book Title
Next 100 Years : a Forecast for the 21st Century
Number of Pages
272 Pages
Language
English
Topic
Intelligence & Espionage, Future Studies, World / General, International Relations / General
Publication Year
2009
Illustrator
Yes
Genre
Political Science, Social Science
Author
George Friedman
Format
Hardcover

Dimensions

Item Height
1.1 in
Item Weight
18 Oz
Item Length
9.6 in
Item Width
6.4 in

Additional Product Features

Intended Audience
Trade
LCCN
2008-026423
Dewey Edition
22
TitleLeading
The
Reviews
"With a unique combination of cold-eyed realism and boldly confident fortune-telling, Friedman ( America's Secret War ) offers a global tour of war and peace in the upcoming century. The author asserts that "the United States' power is so extraordinarily overwhelming" that it will dominate the coming century, brushing aside Islamic terrorist threats now, overcoming a resurgent Russia in the 2010s and '20s and eventually gaining influence over space-based missile systems that Friedman names "battle stars." Friedman is the founder of Stratfor, an independent geopolitical forecasting company, and his authoritative-sounding predictions are based on such factors as natural resources and population cycles. While these concrete measures lend his short-term forecasts credence, the later years of Friedman's 100-year cycle will provoke some serious eyebrow raising. The armed border clashes between Mexico and the United States in the 2080s seem relatively plausible, but the space war pitting Japan and Turkey against the United States and allies, prognosticated to begin precisely on Thanksgiving Day 2050, reads as fantastic (and terrifying) science fiction. Whether all of the visions in Friedman's crystal ball actually materialize, they certainly make for engrossing entertainment." -- Publishers Weekly "This is a book about unintended consequences and how the constraints of time and place impact the behavior of individuals and nations and offer a view of future events. [Friedman's] theories are fascinating....This is an excellent book." -- Booklist "Futurologist Friedman entertainingly explains how America will bestride the world during this century. Prophecy, whether by astrologers, science-fiction writers or geopoliticians, has a dismal track record, but readers will enjoy this steady stream of clever historical analogies, economic analyses and startling demographic data." -- Kirkus "There is a temptation, when you are around George Friedman, to treat him like a Magic 8-Ball." New York Times Magazine " Barron's consistently has found Stratfor's insights informative and largely on the moneyas has the company's large client base, which ranges from corporations to media outlets and government agencies." Barron's "One of the country's leading strategic affairs experts." Lou Dobbs, "With a unique combination of cold-eyed realism and boldly confident fortune-telling, Friedman (America's Secret War) offers a global tour of war and peace in the upcoming century. The author asserts that "the United States' power is so extraordinarily overwhelming" that it will dominate the coming century, brushing aside Islamic terrorist threats now, overcoming a resurgent Russia in the 2010s and '20s and eventually gaining influence over space-based missile systems that Friedman names "battle stars." Friedman is the founder of Stratfor, an independent geopolitical forecasting company, and his authoritative-sounding predictions are based on such factors as natural resources and population cycles. While these concrete measures lend his short-term forecasts credence, the later years of Friedman's 100-year cycle will provoke some serious eyebrow raising. The armed border clashes between Mexico and the United States in the 2080s seem relatively plausible, but the space war pitting Japan and Turkey against the United States and allies, prognosticated to begin precisely on Thanksgiving Day 2050, reads as fantastic (and terrifying) science fiction. Whether all of the visions in Friedman's crystal ball actually materialize, they certainly make for engrossing entertainment." --Publishers Weekly "This is a book about unintended consequences and how the constraints of time and place impact the behavior of individuals and nations and offer a view of future events. [Friedman's] theories are fascinating….This is an excellent book." --Booklist "Futurologist Friedman entertainingly explains how America will bestride the world during this century. Prophecy, whether by astrologers, science-fiction writers or geopoliticians, has a dismal track record, but readers will enjoy this steady stream of clever historical analogies, economic analyses and startling demographic data." --Kirkus "There is a temptation, when you are around George Friedman, to treat him like a Magic 8-Ball." -New York Times Magazine "Barron'sconsistently has found Stratfor's insights informative and largely on the money-as has the company's large client base, which ranges from corporations to media outlets and government agencies." -Barron's "One of the country's leading strategic affairs experts." -Lou Dobbs, "STRATFOR was miles ahead of CNN and all the other media...A private quasi-CIA, STRATFOR has enjoyed an increasing vogue in recent years as a result of the heady forecasts and many newsbreaks...The website has a huge underground following, dating back to the 1999 Kosovo War." Barron's, "With a unique combination of cold-eyed realism and boldly confident fortune-telling, Friedman ( America's Secret War ) offers a global tour of war and peace in the upcoming century. The author asserts that "the United States' power is so extraordinarily overwhelming" that it will dominate the coming century, brushing aside Islamic terrorist threats now, overcoming a resurgent Russia in the 2010s and '20s and eventually gaining influence over space-based missile systems that Friedman names "battle stars." Friedman is the founder of Stratfor, an independent geopolitical forecasting company, and his authoritative-sounding predictions are based on such factors as natural resources and population cycles. While these concrete measures lend his short-term forecasts credence, the later years of Friedman's 100-year cycle will provoke some serious eyebrow raising. The armed border clashes between Mexico and the United States in the 2080s seem relatively plausible, but the space war pitting Japan and Turkey against the United States and allies, prognosticated to begin precisely on Thanksgiving Day 2050, reads as fantastic (and terrifying) science fiction. Whether all of the visions in Friedman's crystal ball actually materialize, they certainly make for engrossing entertainment." -- Publishers Weekly "This is a book about unintended consequences and how the constraints of time and place impact the behavior of individuals and nations and offer a view of future events. [Friedman's] theories are fascinating….This is an excellent book." -- Booklist "Futurologist Friedman entertainingly explains how America will bestride the world during this century. Prophecy, whether by astrologers, science-fiction writers or geopoliticians, has a dismal track record, but readers will enjoy this steady stream of clever historical analogies, economic analyses and startling demographic data." -- Kirkus "There is a temptation, when you are around George Friedman, to treat him like a Magic 8-Ball." -New York Times Magazine " Barron's consistently has found Stratfor's insights informative and largely on the money-as has the company's large client base, which ranges from corporations to media outlets and government agencies." - Barron's "One of the country's leading strategic affairs experts." -Lou Dobbs
Dewey Decimal
303.490905
Synopsis
Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world. George Friedman In his long-awaited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century."The Next 100 Years "draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era with changes in store, including: The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia. China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power. A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia, and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly. Technology will focus on space both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications. The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century. Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made George Friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, "The Next 100 Years" presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead.For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to www.Stratfor.com", "Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world." -George Friedman In his long-awaited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future-offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century. The Next 100 Years draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era-with changes in store, including: The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude-replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia. China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power. A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia, and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly. Technology will focus on space-both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications. The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century. Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made George Friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, The Next 100 Years presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead. For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to www.Stratfor.com
LC Classification Number
JZ1305.F75 2009

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